/soy/ - Soyjaks

1,627 soyteens. How many murderers?

Apparently there are 1,627 unique IPs globally on the sharty as of today.

So, purely as a base-rate thought experiment, how many of those 1,627 soyteens could statistically have committed murder?

For different hypothetical lifetime rates:

0.01% → 0.16

0.05% → 0.81

0.1% → 1.63

0.5% → 8.14

1% → 16.27

Obviously we don't actually know the murder-perpetrator base rate for soyteens, and an annual homicide rate isn't the same thing as the percentage of people who have ever committed murder.

But if you had to guess: how many bodies are statistically hiding among the 1,627 unique IPs?